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2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball break prices by team
What each team spot costs in a 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball case break, with each team's expected autographs, card value and chance to break even.
Every team spot, best value first
| Team | Spot price | Average card value | Typical value | Chance to break even | Value per $ | Expected autographs | Chase players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | $62 | $67 | $48 | 35% | 1.08× | 0.70 | Khaman Maluach, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | $65 | $65 | $43 | 29% | 1.01× | 0.35 | Anthony Edwards, Joan Beringer, Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
| Dallas Mavericks | $1,135 | $953 | $229 | 20% | 0.84× | 0.31 | Cooper Flagg, Kyrie Irving, Dirk Nowitzki |
| Sacramento Kings | $32 | $26 | $18 | 23% | 0.83× | 0.44 | Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Jake LaRavia |
| San Antonio Spurs | $767 | $623 | $219 | 22% | 0.81× | 0.57 | Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle |
| Chicago Bulls | $60 | $39 | $22 | 12% | 0.65× | 0.41 | Noa Essengue, Dennis Rodman, Kevin Huerter |
| Brooklyn Nets | $92 | $58 | $43 | 13% | 0.63× | 1.17 | Egor Dëmin, Danny Wolf, Drake Powell |
| Detroit Pistons | $67 | $39 | $28 | 10% | 0.58× | 0.40 | Cade Cunningham, Marcus Sasser, Malik Beasley |
| Miami Heat | $77 | $42 | $32 | 7% | 0.55× | 0.40 | Kasparas Jakučionis, Dwyane Wade, Pelle Larsson |
| Washington Wizards | $77 | $42 | $29 | 9% | 0.54× | 0.35 | Will Riley, Tre Johnson III, Marcus Smart |
| Charlotte Hornets | $492 | $259 | $98 | 13% | 0.53× | 0.91 | Kon Knueppel, Liam McNeeley, LaMelo Ball |
| Toronto Raptors | $70 | $36 | $20 | 11% | 0.52× | 0.36 | Collin Murray-Boyles, Vince Carter, Immanuel Quickley |
| Orlando Magic | $77 | $39 | $30 | 6% | 0.51× | 0.56 | Paolo Banchero, Jase Richardson, Tracy McGrady |
| Indiana Pacers | $62 | $29 | $20 | 5% | 0.47× | 0.37 | Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones |
| Houston Rockets | $75 | $33 | $21 | 5% | 0.44× | 0.13 | Kevin Durant, Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | $177 | $78 | $46 | 5% | 0.44× | 0.47 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thomas Sorber, Chet Holmgren |
| Utah Jazz | $295 | $117 | $57 | 7% | 0.40× | 0.67 | Ace Bailey, Walter Clayton Jr., John Stockton |
| Los Angeles Clippers | $87 | $34 | $25 | 4% | 0.39× | 0.47 | James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, Yanic Konan-Niederhäuser |
| New York Knicks | $162 | $60 | $27 | 4% | 0.37× | 0.06 | Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | $80 | $27 | $21 | 4% | 0.34× | 0.25 | Donovan Mitchell, Tyrese Proctor, Jaylon Tyson |
| Atlanta Hawks | $87 | $24 | $19 | 1% | 0.28× | 0.34 | Asa Newell, Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu |
| Portland Trail Blazers | $102 | $24 | $13 | 3% | 0.24× | 0.34 | Yang Hansen, Kris Murray, Matisse Thybulle |
| Boston Celtics | $245 | $56 | $40 | 3% | 0.23× | 0.19 | Jayson Tatum, Larry Bird, Hugo Gonzalez |
| Los Angeles Lakers | $667 | $151 | $61 | 3% | 0.23× | 0.38 | LeBron James, Shaquille O'Neal, Magic Johnson |
| Golden State Warriors | $532 | $118 | $46 | 2% | 0.22× | 0.29 | Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III |
| Philadelphia 76ers | $410 | $86 | $48 | 1% | 0.21× | 0.13 | VJ Edgecombe, Allen Iverson, Joel Embiid |
| Memphis Grizzlies | $297 | $51 | $34 | 1% | 0.17× | 0.37 | Cedric Coward, Ja Morant, GG Jackson II |
| Milwaukee Bucks | $165 | $27 | $21 | 0% | 0.16× | 0.05 | Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard, Taurean Prince |
| Denver Nuggets | $202 | $30 | $21 | 1% | 0.15× | 0.13 | Nikola Jokić, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook |
| New Orleans Pelicans | $332 | $46 | $34 | 0% | 0.14× | 0.44 | Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi |
Spot price is the average across shops of each shop's median listed price. Average card value is across many breaks; typical value is the middle break; chance to break even is how often the cards are worth at least the spot price in simulated breaks.
Questions
What comes in a 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball hobby box?
20 packs per box and 12 boxes per case. From the manufacturer's odds a box averages 1.00 autographs and 12.2 inserts. About 3.0 of the cards are serial numbered.
How much is a 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball hobby box?
About $899 as of October 11, 2026. That is the middle price of sealed boxes sold on eBay in the last 45 days; shops ask from $1,199. Prices are before shipping and tax.
Is a 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball hobby box worth opening?
For the cards alone, usually not. A typical box holds about $126 of cards against a price of about $899, which is about 14¢ for every $1. The average box is higher, about $276, because a few rare pulls carry it. Eight boxes in ten hold between $69 and $438. These are estimates from sold prices and a model.
What are the odds of a rare autograph in 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball?
In one hobby box, the chance of an autograph numbered to 25 or fewer is about 4%, and to 50 or fewer about 8%. Any one-of-one card is about 0.3%, or 1 in 322 boxes. Odds are the manufacturer's.
What are the odds of pulling a Dylan Harper autograph in 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball?
Any autograph of Dylan Harper is about 1 in 51 boxes in hobby. For comparison: Kon Knueppel, 1 in 51 boxes; Ace Bailey, 1 in 51 boxes; Cooper Flagg, 1 in 59 boxes; Victor Wembanyama, 1 in 164 boxes.
How much does a 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball case break cost?
All 30 team spots in a 12-box pick-your-team case break add up to about $7,045 as of October 11, 2026. No shop has this break open now, so these are the last listed prices, from December 2025. The most expensive spots are Dallas Mavericks ($1,135), San Antonio Spurs ($767), Los Angeles Lakers ($667); the cheapest are Sacramento Kings ($32), Chicago Bulls ($60), Phoenix Suns ($62).
Which 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball team spots are the best value?
By estimated card value for every $1 of spot price: Phoenix Suns ($1.08), Minnesota Timberwolves ($1.01), Dallas Mavericks (84¢). Across all teams a typical spot's cards are worth about 20¢ per $1 paid; the average is 47¢, because a few very rare cards carry it. These are estimates, good to about ±30% per team.
Numbers as of October 11, 2026. Prices are what breakers list; values are estimates from sold prices and a tier and rarity model.
2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball: checklist, odds and break prices · 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball checklist by team and player · 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball odds: autographs, numbered cards and 1/1s · 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball hobby box: what you get and what it costs · 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball break prices by team