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2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball break prices by team

What each team spot costs in a 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball case break, with each team's expected autographs, card value and chance to break even.

Every team spot, best value first

TeamSpot priceAverage card valueTypical valueChance to break evenValue per $Expected autographsChase players
New York Knicks$130$66$338%0.51×0.08Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby
Houston Rockets$87$41$247%0.47×0.09Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Hakeem Olajuwon
Phoenix Suns$80$34$264%0.43×0.08Devin Booker, Khaman Maluach, Rasheer Fleming
Golden State Warriors$495$191$537%0.39×0.09Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green
Washington Wizards$90$33$244%0.37×0.11Tre Johnson III, Will Riley, Kyshawn George
Dallas Mavericks$1,872$675$2046%0.36×0.10Cooper Flagg, Kyrie Irving, Dirk Nowitzki
San Antonio Spurs$1,472$519$2837%0.35×0.14Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant
Toronto Raptors$95$33$225%0.35×0.15Collin Murray-Boyles, Vince Carter, Tracy McGrady
Indiana Pacers$82$27$204%0.34×0.08Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Jalen Rose
Los Angeles Lakers$885$287$1644%0.32×0.12LeBron James, Luka Dončić, Lebron James
Minnesota Timberwolves$252$81$374%0.32×0.07Anthony Edwards, Joan Beringer, Kevin Garnett
Memphis Grizzlies$122$37$282%0.30×0.12Cedric Coward, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane
Portland Trail Blazers$78$23$182%0.29×0.05Donovan Clingan, Deni Avdija, Yang Hansen
Cleveland Cavaliers$76$20$143%0.27×0.11Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Tyrese Proctor
Detroit Pistons$115$30$172%0.26×0.10Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Ben Wallace
Philadelphia 76ers$342$86$462%0.25×0.01VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Allen Iverson
Milwaukee Bucks$172$42$242%0.25×0.00Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis
Boston Celtics$217$51$342%0.23×0.16Jayson Tatum, Hugo González, Jaylen Brown
Oklahoma City Thunder$475$105$542%0.22×0.14Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren
Los Angeles Clippers$72$16$93%0.22×0.09Kawhi Leonard, James Harden, Yanic Konan-Niederhäuser
Atlanta Hawks$67$15$112%0.22×0.06Trae Young, Asa Newell, Spud Webb
New Orleans Pelicans$200$41$331%0.20×0.09Jeremiah Fears, Derik Queen, Yves Missi
Denver Nuggets$162$33$202%0.20×0.05Nikola Jokić, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray
Miami Heat$81$16$111%0.20×0.06Kasparas Jakučionis, Ray Allen, Dwyane Wade
Chicago Bulls$72$14$63%0.20×0.07Noa Essengue, Dennis Rodman, Josh Giddey
Brooklyn Nets$157$31$192%0.20×0.16Egor Dëmin, Drake Powell, Egor Dёmin
Utah Jazz$350$67$292%0.19×0.17Ace Bailey, Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George
Charlotte Hornets$1,037$188$702%0.18×0.13Kon Knueppel, LaMelo Ball, Liam McNeeley
Orlando Magic$157$28$181%0.18×0.15Paolo Banchero, Jase Richardson, Franz Wagner
Sacramento Kings$150$16$110%0.11×0.10Maxime Raynaud, Nique Clifford, Zach Lavine

Spot price is the average across shops of each shop's median listed price. Average card value is across many breaks; typical value is the middle break; chance to break even is how often the cards are worth at least the spot price in simulated breaks.

Questions

What comes in a 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball hobby box?

20 packs per box and 8 boxes per case. From the manufacturer's odds a box averages 0.37 autographs and 12.9 inserts. About 2.5 of the cards are serial numbered.

How much is a 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball hobby box?

About $950 as of October 11, 2026. That is the middle price of sealed boxes sold on eBay in the last 45 days. Prices are before shipping and tax.

Is a 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball hobby box worth opening?

For the cards alone, usually not. A typical box holds about $197 of cards against a price of about $950, which is about 21¢ for every $1. The average box is higher, about $356, because a few rare pulls carry it. Eight boxes in ten hold between $93 and $660. These are estimates from sold prices and a model.

What are the odds of a rare autograph in 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball?

In one hobby box, the chance of an autograph numbered to 25 or fewer is about 9%, and to 50 or fewer about 17%. Any one-of-one card is about 0.8%, or 1 in 128 boxes. Odds are the manufacturer's.

What are the odds of pulling a Kon Knueppel autograph in 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball?

Any autograph of Kon Knueppel is about 1 in 124 boxes in hobby. For comparison: Cooper Flagg, 1 in 177 boxes; Dylan Harper, 1 in 177 boxes; Ace Bailey, 1 in 177 boxes; Victor Wembanyama, 1 in 181 boxes.

How much does a 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball case break cost?

All 30 team spots in a 8-box pick-your-team case break add up to about $9,610 as of October 11, 2026. No shop has this break open now, so these are the last listed prices, from May 2026. The most expensive spots are Dallas Mavericks ($1,872), San Antonio Spurs ($1,472), Charlotte Hornets ($1,037); the cheapest are Atlanta Hawks ($67), Los Angeles Clippers ($72), Chicago Bulls ($72).

Which 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball team spots are the best value?

By estimated card value for every $1 of spot price: New York Knicks (51¢), Houston Rockets (47¢), Phoenix Suns (43¢). Across all teams a typical spot's cards are worth about 14¢ per $1 paid; the average is 30¢, because a few very rare cards carry it. These are estimates, good to about ±30% per team.

Numbers as of October 11, 2026. Prices are what breakers list; values are estimates from sold prices and a tier and rarity model.

2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball: checklist, odds and break prices · 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball checklist by team and player · 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball odds: autographs, numbered cards and 1/1s · 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball hobby box: what you get and what it costs · 2025-26 Topps Cosmic Chrome Basketball break prices by team